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Stating that "The United States (...) has become a permanent party in the
[Arab Israeli] conflict, in war and in peace", human rights activist and
Director of the Ibn Khaldoun Center in Cairo Sa'ad Eddin Ibrahim advocates
for renewed enthusiasm for the Arab Peace Initiative; "It is important (...)
that all powers that believe in peace, Arab, Israeli and international,
revive interest in this initiative, and embrace it, as they embraced and
supported the Road Map."
There is No Alternative to Peace in the Middle East
Sa'ad Eddin Ibrahim
A few weeks have passed since the thirtieth anniversary of the October
War (Yom Kippur), and a quarter of a century since the signing of the Camp
David peace treaty between Egyptian President Anwar Sadat and Israeli Prime
Minister Menachem Begin, under the auspices of the American President Jimmy
Carter.
This double October anniversary profoundly symbolizes the Middle East
problem--the elements of the conflict, as well as the elements of the
solution. It is a war between the Arabs and Israel, the only way out being
an American-brokered peace. This has been the solution since the first
Arab-Israeli war in 1948.
Certainly, Arabs and Israelis alone are capable of initiating any war,
but, to date, at least six wars later, they are incapable of putting an end
to the war and initiating peace by themselves. The two parties need to
achieve this under international auspices-- American, to be precise.
It is also clear that if either of the two parties proposed an initiative
for peace, such a move would not be complete without the involvement of
other foreign parties, one of which would have to be the United States. This
applied to the armistice of 1948, halting the tripartite aggression (1956),
the ceasefire in the Six-Day War and Resolution 242 (1967), the ceasefire in
the October War and Resolution 338 (1973), the Camp David Agreement (1978),
the peace conference in Madrid (1991), the Oslo accord (1993), the second
Camp David negotiations and the Taba talks (2000), and, finally, U.S.
President George Bush's initiative, known as the "Road Map" (2003).
The United States, therefore, has become a permanent party in the
conflict, in war and in peace. It provides large amounts of aid to Israel,
as well as to a number of Arab countries, and has huge oil interests in the
Gulf area, especially in Saudi Arabia. This clear American integration may
be one of the reasons for its presence in and large influence on managing
the conflict, in war and in peace.
No matter how negative the Arab public opinion is towards the United
States, due to its clear prejudice in favor of Israel, most observers agree
that it is in the interest of the United States that conditions improve in
the Middle East. It is in its interest that peace prevails between the Arabs
and Israel, especially since the end of the Cold War and the collapse of the
Soviet Union, for the United States has no enemy or competitor in the region
any more.
This domineering and permanent presence of the United States in the Arab-
Israeli conflict, as in other conflicts in the region and the world, does
not negate the role of regional parties in inflaming or calming down the
conflict. Dramatic examples of this are the Egyptian President's initiatives
for war (1973) and peace (1977).
In this context, let us go back to talking about the peace initiative
proposed by Saudi Prince Abdallah, adopted by the Beirut Arab Summit. The
Initiative is based on three main pillars: Israeli withdrawal from Arab land
occupied in 1967 - the West Bank, the Gaza Strip and the Syrian Golan
Heights, and the establishment of a Palestinian state next to Israel, in
return for a permanent peace and a full Arab recognition of Israel, in terms
of its existence and borders.
Despite an initial international welcome for Prince Abdallah's peace
initiative, and despite the fact that it was one of the main references in
ensuing American peace plans, including the Road Map, the sounds of the
armed clash between the Israelis and the Palestinians continued. The
escalating tempo of the suicide-revenge cycle between the two, in addition
to the regional and international preoccupation with the war in Iraq (since
the spring of 2003), led to a receding interest in the Saudi initiative.
It is important, however, that all powers that believe in peace, Arab,
Israeli and international, revive interest in this initiative, and embrace
it, as they embraced and supported the Road Map. Any regression or slack in
this context would mean relinquishing the arena to the enemies of peace and
the warmongers on both sides, and continuing the bloodshed of Palestinians
and Israelis. This is in addition to the impossibility of ensuring that the
armed conflict will not spill out of its confines in Palestine into
neighboring countries, especially Syria and Lebanon. We have actually seen
an example of this in the Israeli air raid on a position in Syria, with an
Israeli claim that it was a training site for terrorists.
Peace is the best strategic option for Arabs and Israelis. I will
concentrate, for the balance of this article, on the importance of this
option to the Arabs, leaving the discussion over its benefits for Israel to
Israeli researchers and analysts themselves. It is worth noting, however,
that all public opinion surveys there reveal that over 70% of Israelis want
peace, with the recognition of a Palestinian state. The Israeli public has
realized that it is impossible to continue repressing Palestinians and
ignoring their legitimate national demands, regardless of Israel's military
might, its technological capability and its economic superiority.
What is important now is that the Arab public, in turn, realizes that it
is impossible to vanquish or annihilate Israel, regardless of the number of
suicide bombings. It is also important to realize that no matter how long
conflicts persist, they are bound to come to an end with peaceful
settlements and historic reconciliations. These settlements and
reconciliations must include mutual compromises.
This is how conflicts in Europe, East Asia, Ireland and South Africa came
to an end. In each of these regions, peace, followed by economic cooperation
and then prosperity, replaced the conflict. The only extended and raging
conflicts remain in the Middle East and South Asia and some areas in the
African southern desert. International reports indicate that these very
areas are the poorest, most corrupt, most repressive and destroyed in the
world. (The most recent of these reports was published by the United Nations
Development Program in 2002, entitled: Arab Human Development Report.)
The Arab-Israeli conflict, like all conflicts around the world, cannot be
settled by war, regardless of time, due to the mixture of geographic,
historic, cultural, religious, identity and interest considerations
involved. If the public is convinced of this impossibility, decision makers
will work hard to reach settlements and bring about historic reconciliation
that saves face and respects the interests and dignity of all parties
involved, and puts an end to bloodletting and destruction. This is what
Sadat saw in 1978, and what the Saudi Crown Prince aspired to a quarter of a
century later. We do not need to wait another quarter of a century, or even
one more year, to re-discover the same.
Sa'ad Eddin Ibrahim is a human rights activist and Director of the Ibn
Khaldoun Center for Development Studies in Cairo. This article is part of a
series of views on "The Arab Peace Initiative" (Series Article Seven).
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From the Common Ground News Service
hagalil.com 18-12-2003
hagalil.com 21-12-2003 |